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The Expected Value of Extinction Risk Reduction is Positive

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The Expected Value of Extinction Risk Reduction is Positive

There are good reasons to care about sentient beings living in the millions of years to come. Caring about the future of sentience is sometimes taken to imply reducing the risk of human extinction as a moral priority. However, this implication is not obvious so long as one is uncertain whether a future with humanity would be better or worse than one without it.

In this article, the writers try to give an all-things-considered answer to the question: β€œIs the expected value of efforts to reduce the risk of human extinction positive or negative?”.

Blogpost on the EA Forum by Jan M. Brauner, Friederike M. Grosse-Holz.

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